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Problem 901


Problem 901


Well Drilling

A driller drills for water. At each iteration the driller chooses a depth d (a positive real number), drills to this depth and then checks if water was found. If so, the process terminates. Otherwise, a new depth is chosen and a new drilling starts from the ground level in a new location nearby.

Drilling to depth d takes exactly d hours. The groundwater depth is constant in the relevant area and its distribution is known to be an exponential random variable with expected value of 1. In other words, the probability that the groundwater is deeper than d is ed.

Assuming an optimal strategy, find the minimal expected drilling time in hours required to find water. Give your answer rounded to 9 places after the decimal point.


钻井

一名钻井工人在钻探水源。每一轮,钻井工人选择一个(正实数)深度d,一直钻到这个深度,然后检查是否找到水。如果找到了,就结束钻探。否则,工人会在附近找一个新位置,选择一个新的深度,从地面开始新的钻探。

钻到深度d需要恰好d小时。在这片区域内,地下水的深度是恒定的,且满足期望值为1的指数分布。换言之,地下水深度超过d的概率是ed

假设钻井工人采用最优策略,求找到水所需的最小预期钻探时间(以小时为单位),并将你的答案四舍五入保留9位小数。


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