Problem 819
Iterative Sampling
Given an $n$-tuple of numbers another $n$-tuple is created where each element of the new $n$-tuple is chosen randomly from the numbers in the previous $n$-tuple. For example, given $(2,2,3)$ the probability that $2$ occurs in the first position in the next $3$-tuple is $2/3$. The probability of getting all $2$’s would be $8/27$ while the probability of getting the same $3$-tuple (in any order) would be $4/9$.
Let $E(n)$ be the expected number of steps starting with $(1,2,\ldots,n)$ and ending with all numbers being the same.
You are given $E(3) = 27/7$ and $E(5) = 468125/60701 \approx 7.711982$ rounded to $6$ digits after the decimal place.
Find $E(10^3)$. Give the answer rounded to $6$ digits after the decimal place.
迭代抽样
给定一个$n$元数组,考虑从中随机抽样得到的新$n$元数组。例如,当原数组是$(2,2,3)$时,新数组的第一位有$2/3$的概率是$2$,有$8/27$的概率全都是$2$,有$4/9$的概率获得原数组(不计顺序)。
从数组$(1,2,\ldots,n)$出发,不断随机抽样直至数组中所有的数都相同,记所需要的步数的期望为$E(n)$。
已知$E(3) = 27/7$,$E(5) = 468125/60701 \approx 7.711982$,保留小数点后$6$位。
求$E(10^3)$,并将你的答案保留小数点后$6$位。